FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.29 – 158.06

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

123 – 264

Prediction missed · off by 71.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 461.3 ±11.7

11361ORA Raven Bots

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 26.96Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 19.73Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 113.6Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 349.3 ±11.6

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 41.17Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 85.64Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 31.25Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11361, 8426, 6152

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11361, 8426, 6152

Auto

23.7 15%

Teleop

105.5 68%

Endgame

27.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7174, 123, 5559

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7174, 123, 5559

Auto

32.6 21%

Teleop

82.7 52%

Endgame

42.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.3pts

Blue projected score158.1pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 2.2
Score range: 125–193
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 387 vs event baseline 184.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

461.3Season APEX349.3

23.7Auto32.6

105.5Teleop82.7

27Endgame42.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	64
teleop	66	169
endgame	18	26
foul	0	5
total	123	264

Result

Final score

123 – 264

Prediction missed · off by 71.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.