FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

50.98 – 125.56

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 11.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.4 ±12.7

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 25.61Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 10.05Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 15.32Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248 ±12.2

10659Jaguar Byte

Season APEX 28.1Event APEX -0.98Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5843Flurb

Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 76.89Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9751OIA PantherBots

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 49.65Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8115, 10672, 5050

/ 100 compat

Projected

51 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8115, 10672, 5050

Auto

14.4 31%

Teleop

27.6 60%

Endgame

4.2 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10659, 5843, 9751

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10659, 5843, 9751

Auto

1.5 1%

Teleop

90.7 72%

Endgame

34.5 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51pts

Blue projected score125.6pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.6
Score range: 17–160
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 190.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

181.4Season APEX248

14.4Auto1.5

27.6Teleop90.7

4.2Endgame34.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	16
teleop	26	78
endgame	8	52
foul	0	0
total	48	146

Result

Final score

48 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 11.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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