FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

260.18 – 127.13

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

519 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 165.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 626.8 ±10.7

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 2.57Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 143.63Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 113.98Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248.8 ±12.8

5467RoboTractors

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 15.16Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1481The Riveters

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 109.33Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 2.64Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9205, 1189, 3538

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9205, 1189, 3538

Auto

39.7 15%

Teleop

167.4 65%

Endgame

51.3 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5467, 1481, 9735

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5467, 1481, 9735

Auto

18.7 15%

Teleop

68.3 54%

Endgame

39.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score260.2pts

Blue projected score127.1pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 133.1
Score range: 95–292
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 719 vs event baseline 178.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

626.8Season APEX248.8

39.7Auto18.7

167.4Teleop68.3

51.3Endgame39

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	106	55
teleop	312	100
endgame	101	45
foul	0	0
total	519	200

Result

Final score

519 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 165.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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