FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.35 – 38.12

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

408 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 146.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 448.1 ±11.2

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 65.31Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4768Cody "The Green Comet"

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX -9.84Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 104.88Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.2 ±12.7

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 26.59Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6861The Tyros Team

Season APEX 126.8Event APEX 9.59Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 1.94Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5533, 4768, 3414

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5533, 4768, 3414

Auto

21.1 13%

Teleop

98.9 62%

Endgame

40.8 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11455, 6861, 830

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11455, 6861, 830

Auto

-4.3 0%

Teleop

31.4 83%

Endgame

10.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.4pts

Blue projected score38.1pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 122.2
Score range: 7–191
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 492 vs event baseline 173.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

448.1Season APEX218.2

21.1Auto-4.3

98.9Teleop31.4

40.8Endgame10.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	10
teleop	259	38
endgame	76	36
foul	0	0
total	408	84

Result

Final score

408 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 146.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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