FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.12 – 30.2

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

90 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 32 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.3 ±12.4

8427ProtoBots

Season APEX 54Event APEX 16.75Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 63.81Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 21.56Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247.7 ±13.9

11361ORA Raven Bots

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 17.35Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 45.16Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX -32.31Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8427, 7145, 9572

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8427, 7145, 9572

Auto

19.4 19%

Teleop

58.0 55%

Endgame

27.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11361, 10590, 4405

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11361, 10590, 4405

Auto

1.4 4%

Teleop

34.9 100%

Endgame

-4.6 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score102.1pts

Blue projected score30.2pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.9
Score range: -2–134
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 172 vs event baseline 180.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

365.3Season APEX247.7

19.4Auto1.4

58Teleop34.9

27.4Endgame-4.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	23
teleop	13	36
endgame	18	23
foul	0	0
total	90	82

Result

Final score

90 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 32 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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