Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
127.92 – 141.84
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
52 – 297
Prediction correct · off by 115.5 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 270.5 ±13.9
Season APEX 77Event APEX 11.43Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 101Event APEX 68.2Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 48.29Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 459.5 ±11.1
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 44.78Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 68.2Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 28.86Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9205, 7147, 8297
56
/ 100 compatProjected
127.9 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9205, 7147, 8297
Auto
17.5 14%
Teleop
77.4 61%
Endgame
32.9 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9751, 3538, 6914
55
/ 100 compatProjected
141.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9751, 3538, 6914
Auto
6.3 4%
Teleop
86.5 61%
Endgame
50.1 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score127.9pts
Blue projected score141.8pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -13.9
- Score range
- 97–173
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
270.5Season APEX459.5
17.5Auto6.3
77.4Teleop86.5
32.9Endgame50.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 25 |
| teleop | 21 | 219 |
| endgame | 7 | 53 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 52 | 297 |
Result
Final score
52 – 297
Prediction correct · off by 115.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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