FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

126.54 – 330.28

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

169 – 340

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 280 ±12.8

5843Flurb

Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 95.84Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 34.45Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX -3.75Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 502.5 ±9.8

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 102.12Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 157.69Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 70.47Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5843, 8297, 10590

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5843, 8297, 10590

Auto

24.6 20%

Teleop

74.1 59%

Endgame

26.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5533, 6152, 123

/ 100 compat

Projected

330.3 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5533, 6152, 123

Auto

65.8 20%

Teleop

177.6 55%

Endgame

81.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.5pts

Blue projected score330.3pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -203.7
Score range: 89–368
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 509 vs event baseline 212.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

280Season APEX502.5

24.6Auto65.8

74.1Teleop177.6

26.9Endgame81.3

61Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	53
teleop	104	213
endgame	32	74
foul	0	0
total	169	340

Result

Final score

169 – 340

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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