FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

541.58 – 336.05

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

419 – 330

Prediction correct · off by 64.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 738.8 ±9.5

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 185.22Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 23.04Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 333.32Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 577.8 ±9.9

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 10.7Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 171.22Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 154.13Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3538, 8115, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

541.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3538, 8115, 27

Auto

125.0 23%

Teleop

303.9 56%

Endgame

111.8 21%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5050, 3414, 1189

/ 100 compat

Projected

336 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5050, 3414, 1189

Auto

72.9 22%

Teleop

187.8 56%

Endgame

72.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.64 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score541.6pts

Blue projected score336pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 205.5
Score range: 298–580
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 749 vs event baseline 208.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

738.8Season APEX577.8

125Auto72.9

303.9Teleop187.8

111.8Endgame72.3

0Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	40
teleop	237	197
endgame	102	93
foul	30	0
total	419	330

Result

Final score

419 – 330

Prediction correct · off by 64.3 pts

Match videos

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