Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

125.64 – 133.59

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 330.2 ±11.7

5152Alotobots

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 50.7Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 6.71Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 68.23Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.8 ±11

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 14.82Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 56.44Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5676The H.E.R.O.E.S

Season APEX 119.7Event APEX 62.33Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5152, 9703, 5675

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5152, 9703, 5675

Auto

37.0 29%

Teleop

61.5 49%

Endgame

27.0 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5980, 3875, 5676

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5980, 3875, 5676

Auto

18.8 14%

Teleop

75.9 58%

Endgame

36.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score125.6pts

Blue projected score133.6pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8
Score range: 105–155
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 259 vs event baseline 115.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

330.2Season APEX354.8

37Auto18.8

61.5Teleop75.9

27Endgame36.7

0Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	30
teleop	31	67
endgame	26	54
foul	0	0
total	108	151

Result

Final score

108 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 pts

Match videos

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