Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

270.05 – 123.59

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

217 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 37.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 541.3 ±9.5

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 12.38Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 105.96Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 151.71Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 258.4 ±11.6

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 44.82Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3658Robo - Beavers

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 27.48Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 51.29Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10473, 4237, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

270.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10473, 4237, 6002

Auto

53.6 20%

Teleop

156.0 59%

Endgame

54.7 21%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 858, 3658, 5559

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 858, 3658, 5559

Auto

16.1 14%

Teleop

65.8 55%

Endgame

37.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score270.1pts

Blue projected score123.6pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146.5
Score range: 103–291
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 319 vs event baseline 114.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

541.3Season APEX258.4

53.6Auto16.1

156Teleop65.8

54.7Endgame37.2

0Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	21
teleop	84	42
endgame	59	39
foul	0	0
total	217	102

Result

Final score

217 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 37.3 pts

Match videos

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