Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
326.86 – 128.05
92%8%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
350 – 111
Prediction correct · off by 20.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 695.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 23.22Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 164.13Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 300Event APEX 139.51Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 330.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 69Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56Event APEX 7.45Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 51.6Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8397, 2767, 8608
80
/ 100 compatProjected
326.9 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8397, 2767, 8608
Auto
57.7 18%
Teleop
193.1 60%
Endgame
72.9 23%
Strengths
- · 2767 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5675, 9703, 5152
68
/ 100 compatProjected
128.1 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5675, 9703, 5152
Auto
37.8 29%
Teleop
59.6 46%
Endgame
31.6 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score326.9pts
Blue projected score128.1pts
Red win probability92%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 198.8
- Score range
- 108–347
- Upset likelihood
- 8%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
695.5Season APEX330.2
57.7Auto37.8
193.1Teleop59.6
72.9Endgame31.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 50 | 34 |
| teleop | 202 | 67 |
| endgame | 98 | 5 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 350 | 111 |
Result
Final score
350 – 111
Prediction correct · off by 20.1 pts
Match videos
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