Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

279.81 – 55.26

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

238 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 22.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 541.3 ±9.5

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 15.89Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 109.37Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 154.55Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.1 ±12.1

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 18.19Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10651Gear Cats

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 21.42Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 15.65Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10473, 4237, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10473, 4237, 6002

Auto

53.9 19%

Teleop

166.4 60%

Endgame

57.1 21%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9566, 10651, 2959

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9566, 10651, 2959

Auto

2.1 4%

Teleop

38.9 72%

Endgame

13.0 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score279.8pts

Blue projected score55.3pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 224.6
Score range: 35–300
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 290 vs event baseline 112.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

541.3Season APEX196.1

53.9Auto2.1

166.4Teleop38.9

57.1Endgame13

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	18
teleop	122	18
endgame	42	16
foul	20	0
total	238	52

Result

Final score

238 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 22.5 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.