Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

346.54 – 103.27

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

253 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 78.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 695.5 ±9.3

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 29.81Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 172.09Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 144.64Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 304.7 ±11

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 51.48Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 33.78Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5248Robo-Saxons

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 18.01Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8397, 2767, 8608

/ 100 compat

Projected

346.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8397, 2767, 8608

Auto

68.5 20%

Teleop

203.0 59%

Endgame

70.4 21%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1188, 9215, 5248

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1188, 9215, 5248

Auto

18.9 19%

Teleop

60.1 59%

Endgame

22.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score346.5pts

Blue projected score103.3pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 243.3
Score range: 83–367
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 292 vs event baseline 111.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

695.5Season APEX304.7

68.5Auto18.9

203Teleop60.1

70.4Endgame22.5

0Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	28
teleop	153	8
endgame	83	3
foul	0	0
total	253	39

Result

Final score

253 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 78.9 pts

Match videos

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