Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

71.35 – 171.9

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 281.6 ±12.2

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 16.3Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9239Panthers robotics

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 8.08Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5152Alotobots

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 46.97Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 441.1 ±10.2

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 7.84Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 11.81Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 152.25Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2959, 9239, 5152

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2959, 9239, 5152

Auto

20.4 30%

Teleop

33.9 49%

Endgame

14.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4327, 5610, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4327, 5610, 6002

Auto

25.0 15%

Teleop

96.8 57%

Endgame

48.5 28%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score71.4pts

Blue projected score171.9pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -100.6
Score range: 51–192
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 249 vs event baseline 111.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

281.6Season APEX441.1

20.4Auto25

33.9Teleop96.8

14.5Endgame48.5

0Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	44
teleop	10	93
endgame	18	41
foul	5	15
total	56	193

Result

Final score

56 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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