Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.66 – 174.72

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

90 – 221

Prediction correct · off by 37.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.1 ±11

11386Climax-Scotts PantherBots

Season APEX 92Event APEX 36.57Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 19.14Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 62.95Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 434.5 ±11.1

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 140.61Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5248Robo-Saxons

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 14.13Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3658Robo - Beavers

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 19.98Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11386, 10473, 5675

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11386, 10473, 5675

Auto

37.4 31%

Teleop

55.9 46%

Endgame

27.0 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8608, 5248, 3658

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8608, 5248, 3658

Auto

20.9 12%

Teleop

119.1 68%

Endgame

35.2 20%

Strengths

· 8608 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score118.7pts

Blue projected score174.7pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.1
Score range: 99–195
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 311 vs event baseline 111.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295.1Season APEX434.5

37.4Auto20.9

55.9Teleop119.1

27Endgame35.2

0Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	40
teleop	35	132
endgame	22	44
foul	0	5
total	90	221

Result

Final score

90 – 221

Prediction correct · off by 37.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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