Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

68.82 – 189.98

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

28 – 260

Prediction correct · off by 55.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.8 ±12.8

8041Lake City Ultrabots

Season APEX 45.2Event APEX 11.89Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 5.63Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8126Control Freaks

Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 51.3Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 451.6 ±11.2

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 24.78Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 166.85Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7658MagiTech

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX -1.65Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8041, 9703, 8126

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8041, 9703, 8126

Auto

10.0 14%

Teleop

45.6 65%

Endgame

14.5 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8397, 2767, 7658

/ 100 compat

Projected

190 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8397, 2767, 7658

Auto

48.5 25%

Teleop

104.1 55%

Endgame

37.8 20%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score68.8pts

Blue projected score190pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -121.2
Score range: 49–210
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 110.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.8Season APEX451.6

10Auto48.5

45.6Teleop104.1

14.5Endgame37.8

0Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	64
teleop	8	113
endgame	6	43
foul	0	40
total	28	260

Result

Final score

28 – 260

Prediction correct · off by 55.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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