Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
86.24 – 48.24
62%38%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
220 – 137
Prediction correct · off by 111.3 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 379.7 ±12.4
Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 54.57Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.6Event APEX -Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 15.43Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 271 ±12.2
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 12Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 20Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2767, 7911, 11407
63
/ 100 compatProjected
86.2 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2767, 7911, 11407
Auto
20.3 25%
Teleop
48.7 59%
Endgame
13.0 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7226, 5559, 1188
49
/ 100 compatProjected
48.2 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7226, 5559, 1188
Auto
15.4 32%
Teleop
23.5 49%
Endgame
9.2 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.25
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86.2pts
Blue projected score48.2pts
Red win probability62%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 38
- Score range
- 30–104
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
379.7Season APEX271
15.4Auto10.6
40.6Teleop15.4
9.7Endgame6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 58 | 37 |
| teleop | 100 | 64 |
| endgame | 62 | 36 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 220 | 137 |
Result
Final score
220 – 137
Prediction correct · off by 111.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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