Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

20.82 – 103.16

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 50.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 255.4 ±11.1

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 3.88Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 13.75Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 3.19Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.5 ±11.7

11386Climax-Scotts PantherBots

Season APEX 92Event APEX 33.41Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5676The H.E.R.O.E.S

Season APEX 119.7Event APEX 54.52Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7226Error 404

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 15.23Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5980, 10473, 4327

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5980, 10473, 4327

Auto

7.4 39%

Teleop

-1.4 0%

Endgame

13.1 69%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11386, 5676, 7226

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11386, 5676, 7226

Auto

25.6 25%

Teleop

50.4 49%

Endgame

27.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score20.8pts

Blue projected score103.2pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -82.3
Score range: 1–123
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 225 vs event baseline 111.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

255.4Season APEX283.5

7.4Auto25.6

-1.4Teleop50.4

13.1Endgame27.9

64Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	31
teleop	32	61
endgame	25	54
foul	5	0
total	79	146

Result

Final score

79 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 50.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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