Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.01 – 226.02

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 255.7 ±12.2

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 19.22Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 42.92Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 15.87Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 479 ±9.4

8126Control Freaks

Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 51.12Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 23.9Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 151Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5623, 9215, 5610

/ 100 compat

Projected

78 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5623, 9215, 5610

Auto

17.8 24%

Teleop

36.1 49%

Endgame

20.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8126, 8397, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

226 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8126, 8397, 6002

Auto

33.6 15%

Teleop

130.5 58%

Endgame

61.0 27%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score78pts

Blue projected score226pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -148
Score range: 58–246
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 289 vs event baseline 110.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

255.7Season APEX479

17.8Auto33.6

36.1Teleop130.5

20.2Endgame61

17Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	33
teleop	21	174
endgame	12	36
foul	0	0
total	46	243

Result

Final score

46 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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