Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

40.13 – 50.65

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 15.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 142.7 ±13.3

7911Scrap Cat Robotics Team Puma

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 13.22Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7256Irish Robotics

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 10.8Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 16.11Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.1 ±13.3

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX -5.83Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11407Sturgis Trojans

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 12.52Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 43.96Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7911, 7256, 9566

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7911, 7256, 9566

Auto

3.5 9%

Teleop

17.9 46%

Endgame

17.8 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4453, 11407, 5559

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4453, 11407, 5559

Auto

15.8 31%

Teleop

26.0 52%

Endgame

8.6 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score40.1pts

Blue projected score50.7pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.5
Score range: 20–71
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 109 vs event baseline 111.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

142.7Season APEX209.1

3.5Auto15.8

17.9Teleop26

17.8Endgame8.6

0Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	26
teleop	8	41
endgame	18	8
foul	0	0
total	34	75

Result

Final score

34 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 15.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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