Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.54 – 183.78

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

101 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 28.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.5 ±11.6

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX -0.05Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 15.96Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 37.63Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 425.1 ±10.5

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 117.37Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 18.9Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5152Alotobots

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 47.51Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5980, 2959, 9215

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5980, 2959, 9215

Auto

10.0 19%

Teleop

35.5 67%

Endgame

7.2 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4237, 5623, 5152

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4237, 5623, 5152

Auto

50.6 28%

Teleop

92.7 51%

Endgame

37.3 21%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score53.5pts

Blue projected score183.8pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -130.2
Score range: 34–204
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 295 vs event baseline 109.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295.5Season APEX425.1

10Auto50.6

35.5Teleop92.7

7.2Endgame37.3

34Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	61
teleop	41	84
endgame	27	49
foul	15	0
total	101	194

Result

Final score

101 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 28.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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