Qualification · Qualification 60
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
56.08 – 171.34
19%81%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
55 – 157
Prediction correct · off by 7.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 17.24Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 4.11Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 92Event APEX 34.73Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 419.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 62.78Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 46.47Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 62.09Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10651, 4327, 11386
38
/ 100 compatProjected
56.1 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10651, 4327, 11386
Auto
9.0 16%
Teleop
24.6 45%
Endgame
21.3 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5675, 5559, 245
83
/ 100 compatProjected
171.3 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5675, 5559, 245
Auto
35.2 20%
Teleop
90.0 52%
Endgame
46.9 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.09
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score56.1pts
Blue projected score171.3pts
Red win probability19%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -115.3
- Score range
- 36–191
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
279.8Season APEX419.9
9Auto35.2
24.6Teleop90
21.3Endgame46.9
28Consistency58
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 41 |
| teleop | 21 | 80 |
| endgame | 16 | 36 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 55 | 157 |
Result
Final score
55 – 157
Prediction correct · off by 7.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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