Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.22 – 155.26

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 344 ±11.4

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 144.28Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 3.82Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9672Colon Magi Robotics

Season APEX 28Event APEX 12.12Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 369.7 ±11.2

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 48.51Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7256Irish Robotics

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 9.14Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 97.61Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6002, 10473, 9672

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 10473, 9672

Auto

31.3 20%

Teleop

76.0 49%

Endgame

47.3 31%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 858, 7256, 4237

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 858, 7256, 4237

Auto

33.2 22%

Teleop

84.2 55%

Endgame

34.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.2pts

Blue projected score155.3pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 5
Score range: 133–182
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 405 vs event baseline 124.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

344Season APEX369.7

31.3Auto33.2

76Teleop84.2

47.3Endgame34.7

2Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	42
teleop	114	109
endgame	76	32
foul	0	0
total	222	183

Result

Final score

222 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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