Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.99 – 209.31

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

133 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 327.1 ±11.7

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 6.98Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 51.4Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 45.61Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.3 ±10.8

5676The H.E.R.O.E.S

Season APEX 119.7Event APEX 53.24Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7256Irish Robotics

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 7.44Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 148.63Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9703, 1188, 3875

/ 100 compat

Projected

104 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9703, 1188, 3875

Auto

23.1 22%

Teleop

54.9 53%

Endgame

24.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5676, 7256, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5676, 7256, 6002

Auto

28.1 13%

Teleop

115.3 55%

Endgame

64.8 31%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score104pts

Blue projected score209.3pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -105.3
Score range: 84–229
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 368 vs event baseline 109.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

327.1Season APEX431.3

23.1Auto28.1

54.9Teleop115.3

24.9Endgame64.8

0Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	25
teleop	64	133
endgame	54	77
foul	0	0
total	133	235

Result

Final score

133 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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