Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

231.24 – 62.36

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

235 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 10.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 455.5 ±10.5

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 161.74Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10651Gear Cats

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 17.75Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5676The H.E.R.O.E.S

Season APEX 119.7Event APEX 51.75Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227 ±12.1

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 22.02Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5248Robo-Saxons

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 24.76Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 15.58Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2767, 10651, 5676

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2767, 10651, 5676

Auto

49.3 21%

Teleop

115.5 50%

Endgame

67.7 29%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5623, 5248, 2959

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5623, 5248, 2959

Auto

1.4 2%

Teleop

46.3 77%

Endgame

12.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score231.2pts

Blue projected score62.4pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 168.9
Score range: 42–251
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 280 vs event baseline 109.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

455.5Season APEX227

49.3Auto1.4

115.5Teleop46.3

67.7Endgame12.2

66Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	14
teleop	152	20
endgame	57	11
foul	0	0
total	235	45

Result

Final score

235 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 10.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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