Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

95.19 – 204.76

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 258.5 ±12.2

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX -5.2Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 48.18Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 52.21Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 457.5 ±10.8

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 146.04Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9239Panthers robotics

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 11.22Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 47.5Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9638, 5559, 858

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9638, 5559, 858

Auto

13.7 15%

Teleop

48.4 51%

Endgame

32.2 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6002, 9239, 1188

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 9239, 1188

Auto

41.0 20%

Teleop

116.9 57%

Endgame

47.9 23%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score95.2pts

Blue projected score204.8pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109.6
Score range: 75–225
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 320 vs event baseline 109.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

258.5Season APEX457.5

13.7Auto41

48.4Teleop116.9

32.2Endgame47.9

31Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	36
teleop	39	123
endgame	35	53
foul	5	15
total	93	227

Result

Final score

93 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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