Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

208.58 – 50.24

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

310 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 51.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 574.5 ±9.8

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 50.91Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 16.09Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 141.58Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 225.4 ±12.8

7911Scrap Cat Robotics Team Puma

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 9.08Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5152Alotobots

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 34.49Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 6.67Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5675, 8397, 8608

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5675, 8397, 8608

Auto

37.7 18%

Teleop

137.8 66%

Endgame

34.7 17%

Strengths

· 8608 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7911, 5152, 9703

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7911, 5152, 9703

Auto

17.3 33%

Teleop

15.7 30%

Endgame

18.9 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score208.6pts

Blue projected score50.2pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 158.3
Score range: 31–228
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 362 vs event baseline 108.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

574.5Season APEX225.4

37.7Auto17.3

137.8Teleop15.7

34.7Endgame18.9

38Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	14
teleop	174	21
endgame	78	17
foul	0	0
total	310	52

Result

Final score

310 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 51.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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