Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

122.69 – 77.89

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

234 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 70.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 348.5 ±11.1

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 105.98Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 5.64Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3658Robo - Beavers

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 11.07Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 312.2 ±11.7

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 57.67Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5248Robo-Saxons

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 27.22Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX -7Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4237, 9566, 3658

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4237, 9566, 3658

Auto

32.2 27%

Teleop

71.8 59%

Endgame

17.3 14%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 245, 5248, 4453

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 245, 5248, 4453

Auto

2.2 3%

Teleop

58.0 75%

Endgame

17.4 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.7pts

Blue projected score77.9pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 44.8
Score range: 59–142
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 282 vs event baseline 107.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

348.5Season APEX312.2

32.2Auto2.2

71.8Teleop58

17.3Endgame17.4

0Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	16
teleop	137	21
endgame	46	11
foul	15	0
total	234	48

Result

Final score

234 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 70.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.