Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

110.27 – 67.64

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

85 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 15.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 262.8 ±11.6

11386Climax-Scotts PantherBots

Season APEX 92Event APEX 35.98Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 54.61Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 19.68Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241 ±12.8

9239Panthers robotics

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 11.36Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8126Control Freaks

Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 56.86Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX -0.58Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11386, 5559, 2959

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11386, 5559, 2959

Auto

24.4 22%

Teleop

61.6 56%

Endgame

24.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9239, 8126, 9638

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9239, 8126, 9638

Auto

16.6 25%

Teleop

39.2 59%

Endgame

10.4 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110.3pts

Blue projected score67.6pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.6
Score range: 48–130
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 147 vs event baseline 108.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

262.8Season APEX241

24.4Auto16.6

61.6Teleop39.2

24.8Endgame10.4

26Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	13
teleop	49	29
endgame	15	20
foul	0	0
total	85	62

Result

Final score

85 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 15.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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