Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.1 – 137.16

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

92 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 36.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.9 ±12.2

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX -11.86Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9239Panthers robotics

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 13.41Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5676The H.E.R.O.E.S

Season APEX 119.7Event APEX 47.55Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 420.3 ±11.7

3658Robo - Beavers

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 5.87Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX -21.32Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 152.61Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5980, 9239, 5676

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5980, 9239, 5676

Auto

17.1 35%

Teleop

22.2 45%

Endgame

9.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3658, 4453, 2767

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3658, 4453, 2767

Auto

40.7 31%

Teleop

72.1 54%

Endgame

20.2 15%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.1pts

Blue projected score137.2pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.1
Score range: 30–156
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 260 vs event baseline 104.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.9Season APEX420.3

17.1Auto40.7

22.2Teleop72.1

9.8Endgame20.2

86Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	52
teleop	39	78
endgame	35	38
foul	0	0
total	92	168

Result

Final score

92 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 36.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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