Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
76.82 – 75.56
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
37 – 85
Prediction missed · off by 24.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 22.68Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.2Event APEX -9.43Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 63.57Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 11.5Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 43.04Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 21.02Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8397, 8041, 858
51
/ 100 compatProjected
76.8 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8397, 8041, 858
Auto
6.1 8%
Teleop
40.2 52%
Endgame
30.6 40%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4327, 3875, 2959
43
/ 100 compatProjected
75.6 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4327, 3875, 2959
Auto
2.4 3%
Teleop
46.1 63%
Endgame
24.2 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.38
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score76.8pts
Blue projected score75.6pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 1.3
- Score range
- 57–96
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
265.4Season APEX370.1
6.1Auto2.4
40.2Teleop46.1
30.6Endgame24.2
107Consistency35
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 10 |
| teleop | 13 | 39 |
| endgame | 6 | 36 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 37 | 85 |
Result
Final score
37 – 85
Prediction missed · off by 24.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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