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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

76.8275.56

50%50%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

3785

Prediction missed · off by 24.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 22.68Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.2Event APEX -9.43Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 63.57Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 11.5Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 43.04Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 21.02Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8397, 8041, 858
51
/ 100 compat
Projected
76.8 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8397, 8041, 858
Auto
6.1 8%
Teleop
40.2 52%
Endgame
30.6 40%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4327, 3875, 2959
43
/ 100 compat
Projected
75.6 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4327, 3875, 2959
Auto
2.4 3%
Teleop
46.1 63%
Endgame
24.2 33%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.38
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score76.8pts
Blue projected score75.6pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
1.3
Score range
5796
Upset likelihood
50%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 122 vs event baseline 106.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.4Season APEX370.1
6.1Auto2.4
40.2Teleop46.1
30.6Endgame24.2
107Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1810
teleop1339
endgame636
foul00
total3785

Result

Final score

3785

Prediction missed · off by 24.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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