Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
23.65 – 238.98
6%94%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
27 – 243
Prediction correct · off by 3.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 211.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 16.84Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 92Event APEX 27.56Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 70.5Event APEX -20.75Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 585.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 150.14Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 42.75Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 46.09Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9566, 11386, 4453
9
/ 100 compatProjected
23.7 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9566, 11386, 4453
Auto
11.6 52%
Teleop
24.3 100%
Endgame
-13.5 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2767, 3875, 5675
84
/ 100 compatProjected
239 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2767, 3875, 5675
Auto
54.9 23%
Teleop
125.7 53%
Endgame
56.7 24%
Strengths
- · 2767 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.47 · Blue 2.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score23.7pts
Blue projected score239pts
Red win probability6%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -215.3
- Score range
- 6–257
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
211.3Season APEX585.6
11.6Auto54.9
24.3Teleop125.7
-13.5Endgame56.7
0Consistency73
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 68 |
| teleop | 0 | 120 |
| endgame | 8 | 55 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 27 | 243 |
Result
Final score
27 – 243
Prediction correct · off by 3.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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