Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.31 – 74.47

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

118 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 61.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 429.1 ±9.3

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 43.98Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 14.45Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 15.88Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 309.4 ±11

5676The H.E.R.O.E.S

Season APEX 119.7Event APEX 38.48Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3658Robo - Beavers

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX -7.85Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 43.84Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 245, 8397, 4327

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 245, 8397, 4327

Auto

12.9 18%

Teleop

33.6 46%

Endgame

25.9 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5676, 3658, 1188

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5676, 3658, 1188

Auto

19.8 28%

Teleop

26.0 37%

Endgame

25.4 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.3pts

Blue projected score74.5pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.2
Score range: 56–92
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 271 vs event baseline 101.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

429.1Season APEX309.4

12.9Auto19.8

33.6Teleop26

25.9Endgame25.4

123Consistency157

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	39
teleop	66	71
endgame	45	43
foul	0	0
total	118	153

Result

Final score

118 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 61.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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