Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

50.29 – 79.53

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 142.7 ±13.3

9672Colon Magi Robotics

Season APEX 28Event APEX 4.59Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9203Quake

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX -5.77Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 51.47Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287.7 ±12.2

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 19.37Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 51.82Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 8.34Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9672, 9203, 5623

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9672, 9203, 5623

Auto

14.3 28%

Teleop

10.6 21%

Endgame

26.2 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5610, 5675, 2959

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5610, 5675, 2959

Auto

13.5 17%

Teleop

67.4 83%

Endgame

0.7 1%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score50.3pts

Blue projected score79.5pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.2
Score range: 32–98
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 132 vs event baseline 101.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

142.7Season APEX287.7

14.3Auto13.5

10.6Teleop67.4

26.2Endgame0.7

45Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	27
teleop	17	50
endgame	7	16
foul	5	5
total	34	98

Result

Final score

34 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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