Qualification · Qualification 25
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
128.21 – 10.44
81%19%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
79 – 106
Prediction missed · off by 72.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 46.58Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 29Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 52.63Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 2.08Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 17.42Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.4Event APEX -9.06Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3875, 5152, 7226
67
/ 100 compatProjected
128.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3875, 5152, 7226
Auto
26.1 20%
Teleop
52.0 40%
Endgame
52.3 40%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7658, 245, 10651
15
/ 100 compatProjected
10.4 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 7658, 245, 10651
Auto
10.3 100%
Teleop
-14.4 0%
Endgame
12.0 100%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.8
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score128.2pts
Blue projected score10.4pts
Red win probability81%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 117.8
- Score range
- -9–147
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
347.4Season APEX298.1
26.1Auto10.3
52Teleop-14.4
52.3Endgame12
35Consistency222
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 20 |
| teleop | 39 | 64 |
| endgame | 14 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 79 | 106 |
Result
Final score
79 – 106
Prediction missed · off by 72.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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