Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

191.29 – 127.34

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

198 – 285

Prediction missed · off by 82.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.9 ±10.8

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX -6.81Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 149.73Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 48.37Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 472 ±10.5

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 6.42Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11386Climax-Scotts PantherBots

Season APEX 92Event APEX 9.39Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 111.53Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4453, 6002, 858

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4453, 6002, 858

Auto

22.8 12%

Teleop

97.8 52%

Endgame

69.1 36%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5623, 11386, 8608

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5623, 11386, 8608

Auto

31.2 25%

Teleop

85.3 68%

Endgame

9.1 7%

Strengths

· 8608 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score191.3pts

Blue projected score127.3pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.9
Score range: 109–209
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 483 vs event baseline 98.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437.9Season APEX472

22.8Auto31.2

97.8Teleop85.3

69.1Endgame9.1

6Consistency113

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	56
teleop	127	163
endgame	46	66
foul	5	0
total	198	285

Result

Final score

198 – 285

Prediction missed · off by 82.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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