Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
62.38 – 113.82
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
8 – 243
Prediction correct · off by 91.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 152 ±13.3
Season APEX 28Event APEX 19.84Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 43.12Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74.4Event APEX -0.58Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 418.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 86.9Event APEX -7.49Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 128.02Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56Event APEX -6.71Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9672, 7911, 3658
47
/ 100 compatProjected
62.4 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9672, 7911, 3658
Auto
18.9 29%
Teleop
34.3 53%
Endgame
11.4 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2959, 2767, 9703
79
/ 100 compatProjected
113.8 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2959, 2767, 9703
Auto
26.7 24%
Teleop
55.8 51%
Endgame
27.0 25%
Strengths
- · 2767 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score62.4pts
Blue projected score113.8pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -51.4
- Score range
- 45–131
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
152Season APEX418.3
18.9Auto26.7
34.3Teleop55.8
11.4Endgame27
56Consistency155
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 48 |
| teleop | 3 | 143 |
| endgame | 0 | 52 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 8 | 243 |
Result
Final score
8 – 243
Prediction correct · off by 91.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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