Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

64.26 – 61.68

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

16 – 107

Prediction missed · off by 46.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 173.5 ±13.9

7256Irish Robotics

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 20.52Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11407Sturgis Trojans

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 24.65Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 19.09Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.2 ±11.7

5676The H.E.R.O.E.S

Season APEX 119.7Event APEX 22.65Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 21.24Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 17.79Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7256, 11407, 9638

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7256, 11407, 9638

Auto

21.7 36%

Teleop

29.4 49%

Endgame

8.5 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5676, 5610, 8397

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5676, 5610, 8397

Auto

6.8 11%

Teleop

31.1 52%

Endgame

21.4 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.3pts

Blue projected score61.7pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 2.6
Score range: 44–82
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 123 vs event baseline 98.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

173.5Season APEX286.2

21.7Auto6.8

29.4Teleop31.1

8.5Endgame21.4

70Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	21
teleop	1	57
endgame	1	29
foul	0	0
total	16	107

Result

Final score

16 – 107

Prediction missed · off by 46.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.