Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

198.6 – 81.96

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

382 – 14

Prediction correct · off by 125.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 723.1 ±8.8

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 87.46Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 77.18Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 33.96Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.6 ±13.3

7658MagiTech

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX -8.2Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 22.17Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7911Scrap Cat Robotics Team Puma

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 67.99Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6002, 8608, 3875

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 8608, 3875

Auto

16.7 8%

Teleop

142.0 72%

Endgame

39.5 20%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7658, 2959, 7911

/ 100 compat

Projected

82 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7658, 2959, 7911

Auto

7.5 9%

Teleop

56.6 69%

Endgame

17.8 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score198.6pts

Blue projected score82pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 116.6
Score range: 65–216
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 396 vs event baseline 92.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

723.1Season APEX192.6

16.7Auto7.5

142Teleop56.6

39.5Endgame17.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	5
teleop	223	8
endgame	108	1
foul	0	0
total	382	14

Result

Final score

382 – 14

Prediction correct · off by 125.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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