Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
57.48 – 43.76
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
39 – 22
Prediction correct · off by 20.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 174.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 15.43Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 28Event APEX 36.76Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 92Event APEX 5.29Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.1 ±13.3
Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 20.51Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80Event APEX 21.98Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45.2Event APEX 1.27Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11407, 9672, 11386
47
/ 100 compatProjected
57.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 11407, 9672, 11386
Auto
17.3 32%
Teleop
17.4 32%
Endgame
20.2 37%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9239, 5623, 8041
49
/ 100 compatProjected
43.8 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9239, 5623, 8041
Auto
12.4 28%
Teleop
21.8 49%
Endgame
10.2 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.24
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score57.5pts
Blue projected score43.8pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 13.7
- Score range
- 26–75
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
174.7Season APEX200.1
17.3Auto12.4
17.4Teleop21.8
20.2Endgame10.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 9 |
| teleop | 13 | 9 |
| endgame | 0 | 4 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 39 | 22 |
Result
Final score
39 – 22
Prediction correct · off by 20.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.