Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

97.06 – 93.1

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

140 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 53 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 472.4 ±9.3

5676The H.E.R.O.E.S

Season APEX 119.7Event APEX 32.59Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 63.89Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 0.58Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175.1 ±12.2

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 53.74Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8126Control Freaks

Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 37.39Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9203Quake

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 1.97Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5676, 4237, 4327

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5676, 4237, 4327

Auto

23.4 25%

Teleop

45.6 48%

Endgame

26.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9566, 8126, 9203

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9566, 8126, 9203

Auto

24.1 27%

Teleop

62.8 70%

Endgame

2.8 3%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score97.1pts

Blue projected score93.1pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4
Score range: 76–114
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 96.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

472.4Season APEX175.1

23.4Auto24.1

45.6Teleop62.8

26.5Endgame2.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	14
teleop	64	13
endgame	37	3
foul	5	0
total	140	30

Result

Final score

140 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 53 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.