Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

254.07 – 305.37

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

174 – 385

Prediction correct · off by 79.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 541.3 ±9.5

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 147.05Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 100.6Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 6.42Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 695.5 ±9.3

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 15.29Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 157.2Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 132.88Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6002, 4237, 10473

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 4237, 10473

Auto

58.5 24%

Teleop

130.2 53%

Endgame

57.1 23%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8397, 2767, 8608

/ 100 compat

Projected

305.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8397, 2767, 8608

Auto

62.6 21%

Teleop

166.0 55%

Endgame

71.8 24%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score254.1pts

Blue projected score305.4pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51.3
Score range: 232–327
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 559 vs event baseline 122.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

541.3Season APEX695.5

58.5Auto62.6

130.2Teleop166

57.1Endgame71.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	78
teleop	74	238
endgame	68	69
foul	5	0
total	174	385

Result

Final score

174 – 385

Prediction correct · off by 79.9 pts

Match videos

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