Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

256.2 – 320.97

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

235 – 161

Prediction missed · off by 90.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 541.3 ±9.5

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 147.66Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 101.14Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 7.4Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 695.5 ±9.3

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 20.6Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 162.43Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 137.94Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6002, 4237, 10473

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 4237, 10473

Auto

58.1 24%

Teleop

133.2 54%

Endgame

55.5 22%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8397, 2767, 8608

/ 100 compat

Projected

321 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8397, 2767, 8608

Auto

63.3 20%

Teleop

179.2 57%

Endgame

73.5 23%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score256.2pts

Blue projected score321pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.8
Score range: 234–343
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 396 vs event baseline 121.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

541.3Season APEX695.5

58.1Auto63.3

133.2Teleop179.2

55.5Endgame73.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	56
teleop	105	43
endgame	69	57
foul	0	5
total	235	161

Result

Final score

235 – 161

Prediction missed · off by 90.6 pts

Match videos

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