Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

262.35 – 319.99

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

215 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 27.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 541.3 ±9.5

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 9.39Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 103.28Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 149.68Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 695.5 ±9.3

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 20.42Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 162.22Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 137.35Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10473, 4237, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10473, 4237, 6002

Auto

57.7 23%

Teleop

135.9 54%

Endgame

58.0 23%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8397, 2767, 8608

/ 100 compat

Projected

320 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8397, 2767, 8608

Auto

59.6 19%

Teleop

182.6 58%

Endgame

72.9 23%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score262.4pts

Blue projected score320pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.6
Score range: 240–342
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 543 vs event baseline 119.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

541.3Season APEX695.5

57.7Auto59.6

135.9Teleop182.6

58Endgame72.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	94
teleop	114	151
endgame	39	78
foul	0	5
total	215	328

Result

Final score

215 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 27.7 pts

Match videos

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