FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

219.26 – 142.8

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

223 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 449.1 ±9.9

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 112.08Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9650Mio Thunderbotz

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX 9.15Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 98.03Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 462 ±9.9

5534Onaway Onabots

Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 56.67Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10421Coded Dragons

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 27.25Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 58.88Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3603, 9650, 2054

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3603, 9650, 2054

Auto

44.0 20%

Teleop

134.8 62%

Endgame

37.1 17%

Strengths

· 3603 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5534, 10421, 2586

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5534, 10421, 2586

Auto

21.1 15%

Teleop

78.5 56%

Endgame

40.8 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score219.3pts

Blue projected score142.8pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.5
Score range: 124–238
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 318 vs event baseline 104.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

449.1Season APEX462

44Auto21.1

134.8Teleop78.5

37.1Endgame40.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	40
teleop	130	28
endgame	52	22
foul	0	5
total	223	95

Result

Final score

223 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 pts

Match videos

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