Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
130.02 – 129.93
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
134 – 80
Prediction correct · off by 27 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 25.94Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 51.8Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 52.28Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 462 ±9.9
Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 52.59Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 22.96Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 54.38Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7768, 7250, 6114
71
/ 100 compatProjected
130 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7768, 7250, 6114
Auto
28.8 23%
Teleop
69.2 54%
Endgame
29.6 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5534, 10421, 2586
71
/ 100 compatProjected
129.9 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5534, 10421, 2586
Auto
23.7 19%
Teleop
69.7 55%
Endgame
34.1 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score130pts
Blue projected score129.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0.1
- Score range
- 111–149
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
406.9Season APEX462
28.8Auto23.7
69.2Teleop69.7
29.6Endgame34.1
12Consistency13
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 46 | 37 |
| teleop | 25 | 23 |
| endgame | 3 | 20 |
| foul | 60 | 0 |
| total | 134 | 80 |
Result
Final score
134 – 80
Prediction correct · off by 27 pts
Match videos
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