FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

103.65 – 71.31

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

179 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 544.1 ±9.9

7250OsCODEa 0w|5

Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 34.31Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 35.35Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 33.99Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.9 ±13.3

6087Cybertronic Lancers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 9.2Rank 13Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7790Baywatch Robotics

Season APEX 104Event APEX 31.95Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8041Lake City Ultrabots

Season APEX 45.2Event APEX 30.16Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7250, 6121, 6114

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7250, 6121, 6114

Auto

26.8 27%

Teleop

51.5 52%

Endgame

19.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6087, 7790, 8041

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6087, 7790, 8041

Auto

11.4 17%

Teleop

39.6 60%

Endgame

14.8 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.7pts

Blue projected score71.3pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.3
Score range: 53–122
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 209 vs event baseline 102.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

544.1Season APEX199.9

26.8Auto11.4

51.5Teleop39.6

19.8Endgame14.8

48Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	4
teleop	110	16
endgame	29	10
foul	0	0
total	179	30

Result

Final score

179 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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