FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175.35 – 74.29

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

153 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 20.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 427 ±10.7

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 57.71Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 116.07Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11435St. Peter's High School RaiderBots

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 1.57Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.6 ±12.7

10421Coded Dragons

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 29.12Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5547The Talons

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 26.22Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7155The Robotic Rangers

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 18.95Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2586, 3603, 11435

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2586, 3603, 11435

Auto

21.1 12%

Teleop

112.7 66%

Endgame

35.9 21%

Strengths

· 3603 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10421, 5547, 7155

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10421, 5547, 7155

Auto

12.5 19%

Teleop

25.4 38%

Endgame

28.7 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score175.4pts

Blue projected score74.3pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 101.1
Score range: 55–194
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 103.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

427Season APEX156.6

21.1Auto12.5

112.7Teleop25.4

35.9Endgame28.7

49Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	20
teleop	73	22
endgame	61	13
foul	0	0
total	153	55

Result

Final score

153 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 20.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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