FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.32 – 92.12

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 21.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 116.3 ±12.1

4776S.C.O.T.S. Bots

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 2.45Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9650Mio Thunderbotz

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX 15.43Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6963Blood Sweat and Gears

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 21.44Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400 ±10.5

7768The AutoMatons

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 20.68Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7790Baywatch Robotics

Season APEX 104Event APEX 33.73Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 37.71Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4776, 9650, 6963

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4776, 9650, 6963

Auto

11.0 28%

Teleop

18.2 46%

Endgame

10.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7768, 7790, 6121

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7768, 7790, 6121

Auto

18.0 19%

Teleop

56.3 59%

Endgame

21.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.3pts

Blue projected score92.1pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52.8
Score range: 20–111
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 122 vs event baseline 103.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

116.3Season APEX400

11Auto18

18.2Teleop56.3

10.1Endgame21

38Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	18
teleop	35	41
endgame	9	7
foul	0	0
total	56	66

Result

Final score

56 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 21.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.