FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.19 – 194.18

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 22.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.8 ±12.4

7794Eagle Engineers

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX -6.04Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 51.7Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11435St. Peter's High School RaiderBots

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 1.53Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.1 ±11.2

4956RoboSharks

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 40.71Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8041Lake City Ultrabots

Season APEX 45.2Event APEX 32.86Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 120.61Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7794, 3536, 11435

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7794, 3536, 11435

Auto

14.2 32%

Teleop

18.5 42%

Endgame

11.5 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4956, 8041, 3603

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4956, 8041, 3603

Auto

35.5 19%

Teleop

114.6 62%

Endgame

33.8 18%

Strengths

· 3603 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.58 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.2pts

Blue projected score194.2pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -147
Score range: 28–213
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 202 vs event baseline 103.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.8Season APEX329.1

14.2Auto35.5

18.5Teleop114.6

11.5Endgame33.8

105Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	25
teleop	20	117
endgame	13	10
foul	0	0
total	50	152

Result

Final score

50 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 22.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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